By Sierra Rayne
In contrast to the "pants on fire" claims by liberal and faux conservative journalists, there hasn't been a single poll in recent weeks before the firing of Corey Lewandowski that, once corrected for known bias, shows anything other than a Trump-Clinton tie, or even a Trump lead.
Polling data last week were staged by the uni-party so the GOPe could use the data as leverage to take control – at least partially – of Trump's campaign. This required the apparent use – if we believe the "sourced" rumor mill – of bad polling data to justify Corey Lewandowski's unceremonious firing. This was a campaign coup d'état on trumped up charges – nothing more, nothing less.
The Reuters Polling Explorer five-day rolling average on Monday showed, prior to correction, that Trump was behind Clinton by 9.7%, 41.0% to 31.3%. But of the 1,625 respondents, 776 (48%) were Democrats and just 505 (31%) were Republicans, for a 17% bias in favor of Democrats that is about 16% higher than it should be.
Of those 1,625 respondents, 666 (an appropriately ominous number; 41%) voted for Obama in 2012. Just 399 (24.5%) voted for Romney in 2012. This converts to a 13% net bias since Obama beat Romney by only 3.9%, and representative polling today should still reflect that distribution.
Translation: Corrected Reuters polling had Trump in the lead by about 3-6% over Clinton......Give the voters what they want, and they will reward you. Give them the same pablum that failed in five of the last six presidential elections when it comes to the popular vote, and they will punish you. Trump took a dangerous step by changing his tactics and team at this point, especially since his moves on Monday only empowered his opponent and sowed the seeds of doubt regarding loyalty on his own side.......Read more
No comments:
Post a Comment